METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
Charlotte, USA
31 Mar 2010
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Nelson
53%
Struve
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:39
★ Official Result
Roy NelsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:39
def. Stefan Struve · UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Struve
→
Actual result
Nelson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 47% vs Struve at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nelson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Nelson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Struve has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NelsonStruve
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nelson
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'11"
73"
Reach
+84"
50
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
20.6
55.6
Performance Avg
51.7
61
Quality of Victory
50
26
Momentum Score
98
Nelson
Struve
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.8
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
7.5
1.8
Style: Volume
2.3
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Nelson
Struve
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.6
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nelson
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Nelson
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
98
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nelson
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
85%
8
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nelson
Struve
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
NelsonStruve
Strike Zones
Nelson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedStruve
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Struve targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nelson
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtDecision
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L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
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