METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
Charlotte, USA
31 Mar 2010
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Nelson
53%
Struve
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:39
★ Official Result
Roy NelsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:39
def. Stefan Struve · UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Struve
→
Actual result
Nelson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nelson at 47% vs Struve at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nelson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Struve has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nelson's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Struve has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NelsonStruve
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nelson
Struve
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'11"
73"
Reach
+84"
50
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nelson
Struve
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
20.6
55.6
Performance Avg
51.7
61
Quality of Victory
50
26
Momentum Score
98
Nelson
Struve
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
52%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
8 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Nelson
Struve
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nelson
Struve
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/36 fights
Chin rating based on
24/46 fights
Nelson
Struve
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
98
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Nelson
Struve
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
85%
8
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nelson
Struve
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.6
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
1.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
NelsonStruve
Strike Zones
Nelson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedStruve
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nelson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Struve absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Struve targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Nelson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nelson
RND
Struve
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nelson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Struve · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Nelson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jared RosholtRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R5
Josh BarnettRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
Struve · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Ben RothwellRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · Sub · R2
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03