UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Welterweight
VS
41%
Maia
59%
Magny
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:52
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 41% vs Magny at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maia
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+80"
48
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
47.5
50.8
Performance Avg
47.4
40
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
75
Maia
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Maia
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Maia
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Maia
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
42%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
11
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Magny
Striking1.8 / 4.2Volume5.0 / 6.0Grappling5.1 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 1.3Pressure5.8 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Demian Maia · Neil Magny
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