METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Welterweight
VS
41%
Maia
59%
Magny
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:52
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:52
def. Neil Magny · UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magny
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 41% vs Magny at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaMagny
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+80"
48
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
47.5
50.8
Performance Avg
47.4
40
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
75
Maia
Magny
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Maia
Magny
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Maia
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Maia
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
42%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
11
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Magny
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08