UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
San Jose, USA
26 Jul 2014
Lightweight
VS
31%
Cruickshank
69%
Masvidal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
CFR 16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Masvidal
Masvidal holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Cruickshank has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Masvidal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cruickshank's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
40+
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
35.2
44.5
Performance Avg
47.0
41
Quality of Victory
42
48
Momentum Score
43
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
1
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch3
0Ground6
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
43
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruickshank
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
CruickshankMasvidal
Strike Zones
Cruickshank
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruickshank targets the body (50% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the head (82% of attacks) — Cruickshank absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruickshank
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cruickshank · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Masvidal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cruickshank · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Paul FelderRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
James KrauseRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Sub · R2
Beneil DariushRating 3.7Submission
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos · 2015-03
Upcoming
KJ NoonsThe Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12
W · Dec · R3
Anthony NjokuaniRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11