UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
93%
Silva
7%
Padua
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ariane
Ariane da Silva
"Queen of Violence"
17 – 11
5'6"67" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 35
Id
Isabela de Padua
"Belinha"
5 – 2
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Padua connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva
Padua
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
67"+
Reach
64"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Padua
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
34.5
2.7
39.0
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
30
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Padua
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground3
Silva
Padua
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Padua
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/28 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Silva
Padua
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Silva
Padua
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Padua
Striking0.9 / 0.0Volume6.2 / 0.0Grappling4.3 / 0.0Wrestling3.0 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Padua
Silva
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Padua
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Padua absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Padua targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Padua
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.7L6.2L4.5W5.6W2.8L3.8L4.5W2.5L5.1W5.4W6.4W6.7L4.9L6.8L2019-012020-112023-032024-112025-06
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · Sub · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 6.4
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Padua · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11

News & Media

Ariane da Silva · Isabela de Padua
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