METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Featherweight
VS
33%
Carlyle
67%
Algeo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bill AlgeowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Spike Carlyle · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Algeo
→
Actual result
Algeo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Algeo holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Carlyle has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carlyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Algeo throws more volume but Carlyle connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Algeo has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CarlyleAlgeo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Carlyle
Algeo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
33+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Switch
Carlyle
Algeo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
39.1
49.3
Performance Avg
41.5
60
Quality of Victory
36
35
Momentum Score
51
Carlyle
Algeo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
49%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
24
2
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance18
1Clinch11
0Ground1
Carlyle
Algeo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Carlyle
Algeo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
50
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Carlyle
Algeo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Carlyle
Algeo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Carlyle
Algeo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
CarlyleAlgeo
Strike Zones
Carlyle
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedAlgeo
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Carlyle targets the head (75% of attacks) — Algeo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Algeo targets the head (80% of attacks) — Carlyle absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Carlyle
RND
Algeo
0/0R00/0
Carlyle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Algeo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Carlyle · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aalon CruzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
Algeo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09