UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Featherweight
VS
33%
Carlyle
67%
Algeo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SC
Spike Carlyle
"Alpha Ginger"
9 – 3
5'8"71" reachSwitch33 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 19
Bill
Bill Algeo
"Senor Perfecto"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSwitch73" reach6'0"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Algeo

Algeo holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Carlyle has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Carlyle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Striking split: Algeo throws more volume but Carlyle connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Algeo has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Carlyle
Algeo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
33+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Switch
Carlyle
Algeo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
39.1
49.3
Performance Avg
41.5
60
Quality of Victory
36
35
Momentum Score
51
Carlyle
Algeo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
49%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
24
2
Body
5
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance18
1Clinch11
0Ground1
Carlyle
Algeo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Carlyle
Algeo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
50
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
10/27 fights
Carlyle
Algeo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Carlyle
Algeo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Carlyle
Algeo
Striking10.0 / 3.0Volume0.7 / 5.8Grappling0.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.0 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure8.0 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Carlyle
Strike Zones
Algeo
Carlyle
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD5BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Algeo
Attacking
24HEAD5BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Carlyle targets the head (75% of attacks) — Algeo absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Algeo targets the head (80% of attacks) — Carlyle absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Carlyle
RND
Algeo
0/0R00/0

Carlyle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W6.7L5.7L2020-022020-052020-11
WinLossTrend

Algeo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W5.6L6.1W5.6W6.2L5.2W5.4W1.6L4.5L2020-082022-012023-042024-07
WinLossTrend

Carlyle · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Aalon CruzRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02

Algeo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dooho ChoiRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Sub · R2
TJ BrownRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09

News & Media

Spike Carlyle · Bill Algeo
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