UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
26 Feb 2022
Flyweight
VS
54%
Altamirano
46%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Victor
Victor Altamirano
"El Magnifico"
12 – 5
5'8"70" reachSwitch35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Carlos
Carlos Hernandez
10 – 5
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'8"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Altamirano

This is a genuine toss-up — Altamirano at 54% vs Hernandez at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Altamirano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Altamirano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hernandez has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Altamirano
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
67"
35
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Altamirano
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.4
31.3
38.8
Performance Avg
32.1
43
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
35
Altamirano
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
24
17
Body
7
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
28Distance22
5Clinch11
0Ground0
Altamirano
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Altamirano
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Altamirano
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Altamirano
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Altamirano
Hernandez
Striking5.7 / 0.9Volume4.7 / 8.9Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Altamirano
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Altamirano
Attacking
13HEAD17BODY3LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD7BODY2LEGS33 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
24HEAD7BODY2LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD17BODY3LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Altamirano targets the body (52% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (73% of attacks) — Altamirano absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Altamirano
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Altamirano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.6L5.5L5.5L2022-022022-082023-032023-062024-022024-09
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.6W3.0L4.5W4.5L5.7L5.6W3.3L2022-022023-062024-062025-05
WinLossTrend

Altamirano · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Daniel BarezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Vinicius SalvadorRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · KO · R1
Daniel LacerdaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

Hernandez · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
HyunSung ParkRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Nyamjargal TumendemberelRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Rei TsuruyaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Denys BondarRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

News & Media

Victor Altamirano · Carlos Hernandez
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