UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Middleweight
VS
33%
Hall
67%
Weidman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weidman
Weidman holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Hall has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Hall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hall's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Weidman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hall
Weidman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
79"+
Reach
78"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hall
Weidman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.1
51.1
47.8
Performance Avg
57.0
45
Quality of Victory
55
45
Momentum Score
51
Hall
Weidman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
48%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hall
Weidman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hall
Weidman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
20/24 fights
Hall
Weidman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
51
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Hall
Weidman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
58%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hall
Weidman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
HallWeidman
Strike Zones
Hall
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedWeidman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Hall absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hall
RND
Weidman
0/0R00/0
Hall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Weidman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre MunizRating 6.4Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
W · KO · R1
Chris WeidmanRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · KO · R4
Anderson SilvaRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08