The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Featherweight
VS
55%
Edgar
45%
Mendes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Edgar
This is a genuine toss-up — Edgar at 55% vs Mendes at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mendes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edgar
Mendes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Mendes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
21.1
48.0
Performance Avg
54.7
39
Quality of Victory
48
68
Momentum Score
100
Edgar
Mendes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
2
Body
0
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
11Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Edgar
Mendes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Mendes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Edgar
Mendes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Edgar
Mendes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edgar
Mendes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
EdgarMendes
Strike Zones
Edgar
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMendes
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (69% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Mendes targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edgar
RND
Mendes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04