UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
37%
Massenzio
63%
Soszynski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MM
CFR 11
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Soszynski
Soszynski holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Massenzio has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Soszynski throws more volume but Massenzio connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Massenzio's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Soszynski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Massenzio
Soszynski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
73"
Reach
+77"
43+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Open Stance
Massenzio
Soszynski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.4
19.1
35.1
Performance Avg
50.5
40
Quality of Victory
40
13
Momentum Score
75
Massenzio
Soszynski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
33
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch1
0Ground34
Massenzio
Soszynski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Massenzio
Soszynski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/38 fights
Massenzio
Soszynski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R3
Massenzio
Soszynski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Massenzio
Soszynski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
MassenzioSoszynski
Strike Zones
Massenzio
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedSoszynski
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Soszynski targets the body (87% of attacks) — Massenzio absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Massenzio
RND
Soszynski
0/0R00/0
Massenzio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Soszynski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Massenzio · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karlos VemolaRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 1.5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve CantwellRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Sub · R3
Brian StannRating 4Submission
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
Soszynski · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike MassenzioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R2
Stephan BonnarRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02