★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 37: High Impact
Bossier City, USA
10 May 2002
Middleweight
VS
58%
Bustamante
42%
Lindland
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bustamante
This is a genuine toss-up — Bustamante at 58% vs Lindland at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bustamante has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Striking split: Lindland throws more volume but Bustamante connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Lindland has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bustamante
Lindland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
Reach
74"
59
Age
+56
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bustamante
Lindland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.4
20.9
75.6
Performance Avg
53.0
76
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
100
Bustamante
Lindland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Bustamante
Lindland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bustamante
Lindland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/31 fights
Bustamante
Lindland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Bustamante
Lindland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bustamante
Lindland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
9.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
1.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
BustamanteLindland
Strike Zones
Bustamante
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLindland
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bustamante targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lindland absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lindland targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Bustamante absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bustamante
RND
Lindland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bustamante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Lindland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Bustamante · Last 4
W · Sub · R3
Matt LindlandRating 5.2Submission
UFC 37: High Impact · 2002-05
W · KO · R2
Dave MenneRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · Dec · R3
Chuck LiddellRating 5.5Decision
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
W · Sub · R2
Yoji AnjoRating 5.2Submission
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04
Lindland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Joe DoerksenRating 4.5Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Travis LutterRating 5.2Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
L · KO · R1
David TerrellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08
W · KO · R3
Falaniko VitaleRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
L · KO · R1
Falaniko VitaleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 43: Meltdown · 2003-06