UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
Las Vegas, USA
16 Oct 2021
Heavyweight
VS
67%
Arlovski
33%
Felipe
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Arlovski
Arlovski holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Felipe has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Felipe has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Arlovski
Felipe
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
75"
47
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Felipe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
24.5
50.5
Performance Avg
39.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
94
Momentum Score
65
Arlovski
Felipe
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
9 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
25
1
Body
5
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
28Distance15
1Clinch9
0Ground7
Arlovski
Felipe
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Felipe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
8
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
5/13 fights
Arlovski
Felipe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Arlovski
Felipe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
0%
9
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Felipe
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.2
ArlovskiFelipe
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedFelipe
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (79% of attacks) — Felipe absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Felipe targets the head (81% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Felipe
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Felipe · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Felipe · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Justin TafaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Yorgan De CastroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
