UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Lightweight
VS
53%
Klose
47%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Klose
This is a genuine toss-up — Klose at 53% vs Garcia at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Klose has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Klose's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Klose
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Klose
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.0
50.6
49.7
Performance Avg
44.7
32
Quality of Victory
32
99
Momentum Score
75
Klose
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
12
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance10
12Clinch6
0Ground0
Klose
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Klose
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Klose
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
75
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Klose
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Klose
Garcia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
KloseGarcia
Strike Zones
Klose
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedGarcia
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Klose targets the head (43% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (81% of attacks) — Klose absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Klose
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
Klose · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Klose · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5Decision
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Garcia · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
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