UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Welterweight
VS
70%
Yoshida
30%
Guymon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yoshida
Yoshida is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yoshida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Guymon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Yoshida's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guymon has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Yoshida
Guymon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+74"
52
Age
+51
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Yoshida
Guymon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.7
8.6
48.4
Performance Avg
25.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
17
Yoshida
Guymon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.5
35%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
23
0
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
1Clinch4
0Ground18
Yoshida
Guymon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Yoshida
Guymon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Yoshida
Guymon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
17
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Yoshida
Guymon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Yoshida
Guymon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
YoshidaGuymon
Strike Zones
Yoshida
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedGuymon
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yoshida targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guymon absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Guymon targets the head (88% of attacks) — Yoshida absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Yoshida
RND
Guymon
0/0R00/0
Yoshida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Guymon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.3WinLossTrend
Yoshida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mike GuymonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · Sub · R1
Brandon WolffRating 5Submission
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
War MachineRating 5Submission
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
Guymon · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R1
Daniel RobertsRating 1.5Submission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Yoshiyuki YoshidaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Sub · R1
Rory MacDonaldRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01