METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
57%
Cannonier
43%
Brunson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:29
★ Official Result
Jared CannonierwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:29
def. Derek Brunson · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cannonier
→
Actual result
Cannonier wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 57% vs Brunson at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brunson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CannonierBrunson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cannonier
Brunson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
42
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Cannonier
Brunson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
40.2
49.3
Performance Avg
54.7
46
Quality of Victory
47
82
Momentum Score
72
Cannonier
Brunson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
13
6
Body
6
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
29Distance23
5Clinch0
5Ground0
Cannonier
Brunson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Brunson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/32 fights
Cannonier
Brunson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
72
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Cannonier
Brunson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
64%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cannonier
Brunson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
CannonierBrunson
Strike Zones
Cannonier
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBrunson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (74% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Brunson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cannonier
RND
Brunson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cannonier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Brunson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Cannonier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Brunson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08