UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
57%
Cannonier
43%
Brunson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:29
Jared
Jared Cannonier
"The Killa Gorilla"
18 – 9
5'11"77" reachSwitch42 yrsStriker
CFR 54
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cannonier

This is a genuine toss-up — Cannonier at 57% vs Brunson at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Brunson throws more volume but Cannonier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cannonier's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brunson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cannonier
Brunson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
77"
Reach
77"
42
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Cannonier
Brunson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
40.2
49.3
Performance Avg
54.7
46
Quality of Victory
47
82
Momentum Score
72
Cannonier
Brunson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
56%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
13
6
Body
6
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
29Distance23
5Clinch0
5Ground0
Cannonier
Brunson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cannonier
Brunson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
21/32 fights
Cannonier
Brunson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
72
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Cannonier
Brunson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
64%
7
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cannonier
Brunson
Striking7.5 / 6.3Volume4.0 / 4.2Grappling0.9 / 2.0Wrestling0.6 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure6.1 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Cannonier
Strike Zones
Brunson
Cannonier
Attacking
29HEAD6BODY4LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD6BODY4LEGS23 absorbed
Brunson
Attacking
13HEAD6BODY4LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD6BODY4LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cannonier targets the head (74% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Brunson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Cannonier absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cannonier
RND
Brunson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cannonier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0101.5L5.0W4.8W5.9L5.5W6.1L2.5L5.2W5.0W6.1W6.4L4.8W5.5W6.9L5.6W5.3W4.8L6.9L7.0W6.3L2015-012017-122020-102023-062025-08
WinLossTrend

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Cannonier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R4
Gregory RodriguesRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R5
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · KO · R4
Nassourdine ImavovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

News & Media

Jared Cannonier · Derek Brunson
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