METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Featherweight
VS
38%
Koch
62%
Assuncao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:32
★ Official Result
Erik KochwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:32
def. Raphael Assuncao · UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Assuncao
→
Actual result
Koch wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Assuncao holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Koch has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Koch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Assuncao has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KochAssuncao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koch
Assuncao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'5"
71"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Koch
Assuncao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
31.4
46.3
Performance Avg
44.2
44
Quality of Victory
32
84
Momentum Score
61
Koch
Assuncao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
3.6
4.2
Style: Volume
7.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Koch
Assuncao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koch
Assuncao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/38 fights
Koch
Assuncao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
61
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Koch
Assuncao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koch
Assuncao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
KochAssuncao
Strike Zones
Koch
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedAssuncao
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the head (50% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Assuncao targets the head (33% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koch
RND
Assuncao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Koch · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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