METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Featherweight
VS
38%
Koch
62%
Assuncao
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:32
★ Official Result
Erik KochwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:32
def. Raphael Assuncao · UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Assuncao
→
Actual result
Koch wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Assuncao holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Koch has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Koch has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Assuncao has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Koch's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Assuncao has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KochAssuncao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Koch
Assuncao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'5"
71"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Koch
Assuncao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
31.4
46.3
Performance Avg
44.2
44
Quality of Victory
32
84
Momentum Score
61
Koch
Assuncao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
1
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Koch
Assuncao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Koch
Assuncao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/38 fights
Koch
Assuncao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
61
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Koch
Assuncao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koch
Assuncao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
KochAssuncao
Strike Zones
Koch
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedAssuncao
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koch targets the head (50% of attacks) — Assuncao absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Assuncao targets the head (33% of attacks) — Koch absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koch
RND
Assuncao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Koch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Assuncao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Koch · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kyle StewartRating 4.5Decision
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Assuncao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Davey GrantRating 4.8Submission
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