UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Middleweight
VS
47%
Miller
53%
Salter
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Salter
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 47% vs Salter at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Salter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Miller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Salter has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Salter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Salter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
18.9
43.7
Performance Avg
49.3
42
Quality of Victory
60
51
Momentum Score
43
Miller
Salter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.3
37%
Strike Accuracy
29%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Salter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Salter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/17 fights
Miller
Salter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Miller
Salter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Salter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MillerSalter
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSalter
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (88% of attacks) — Salter absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Salter targets the head (75% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Salter
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Salter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
Salter · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Dan MillerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R3
Gerald HarrisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01