UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
68%
Hadzovic
32%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:03
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hadzovic
Hadzovic holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Reyes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reyes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Reyes throws more volume but Hadzovic connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hadzovic's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reyes has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hadzovic
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hadzovic
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.9
16.8
39.2
Performance Avg
49.2
39
Quality of Victory
49
20
Momentum Score
50
Hadzovic
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
35%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
24Ground0
Hadzovic
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hadzovic
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
12
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Hadzovic
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Hadzovic
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hadzovic
Reyes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
HadzovicReyes
Strike Zones
Hadzovic
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedReyes
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hadzovic targets the head (93% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hadzovic absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hadzovic
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
Hadzovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Reyes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Hadzovic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Yancy MedeirosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
Reyes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Damir HadzovicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Matt FrevolaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
James VickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05