UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
Copenhagen, Denmark
28 Sept 2019
Welterweight
VS
33%
Bahadurzada
67%
Naurdiev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Naurdiev
Naurdiev holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Bahadurzada has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahadurzada has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Bahadurzada throws more volume but Naurdiev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
45.4
52.2
Performance Avg
43.1
54
Quality of Victory
34
78
Momentum Score
45
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
58%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
11
1
Body
4
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
4Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
8/33 fights
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bahadurzada
Naurdiev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
BahadurzadaNaurdiev
Strike Zones
Bahadurzada
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedNaurdiev
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bahadurzada targets the head (75% of attacks) — Naurdiev absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Naurdiev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bahadurzada absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bahadurzada
RND
Naurdiev
0/0R00/0
Bahadurzada · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Naurdiev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Bahadurzada · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis MillenderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R2
Luan ChagasRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · KO · R2
Rob WilkinsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Sub · R3
Brandon ThatchRating 5.5Submission
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
Naurdiev · Last 5
Upcoming
Marvin VettoriUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Ryan LoderRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.8Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02