UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
17%
Melo
83%
Cortez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
VM
Vanessa Melo
11 – 8
5'5"65" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 10
Tracy
Tracy Cortez
12 – 3
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cortez

Cortez is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Melo throws more volume but Cortez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Melo
Cortez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
38
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Melo
Cortez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.3
49.1
25.0
Performance Avg
45.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
28
Momentum Score
75
Melo
Cortez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
36%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
20
1
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch0
2Ground21
Melo
Cortez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Melo
Cortez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
9/15 fights
Melo
Cortez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
75
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Melo
Cortez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Melo
Cortez
Striking0.5 / 1.5Volume8.5 / 9.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Melo
Strike Zones
Cortez
Melo
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD4BODY3LEGS27 absorbed
Cortez
Attacking
20HEAD4BODY3LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Melo targets the head (85% of attacks) — Cortez absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Cortez targets the head (74% of attacks) — Melo absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Melo
RND
Cortez
0/0R00/0

Melo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.3L6.2L6.2L4.5W2019-092019-112020-072021-01
WinLossTrend

Cortez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W4.5W5.4W5.4W6.9L5.2W4.3L2019-112021-042023-092025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Melo · Last 4

W · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09

Cortez · Last 5

Upcoming
Wang Cong
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Sub · R2
Erin BlanchfieldRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Vanessa Melo · Tracy Cortez
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