★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Featherweight
VS
51%
Volkanovski
49%
Ortega
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
28 – 4
5'6"71" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Brian
Brian Ortega
"T-City"
16 – 5
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide35 yrsSwitch69" reach5'8"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Volkanovski

This is a genuine toss-up — Volkanovski at 51% vs Ortega at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkanovski
Ortega
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
69"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Volkanovski
Ortega
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
62.1
59.8
Performance Avg
53.7
44
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
80
Volkanovski
Ortega
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
61%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
39
Head
19
6
Body
6
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
47Distance24
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Volkanovski
Ortega
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Ortega
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
14/21 fights
Volkanovski
Ortega
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Volkanovski
Ortega
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkanovski
Ortega
Striking5.0 / 5.0Volume7.0 / 2.2Grappling1.6 / 4.3Wrestling1.1 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Volkanovski
Strike Zones
Ortega
Volkanovski
Attacking
39HEAD6BODY5LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Ortega
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD6BODY5LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (78% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Ortega targets the head (73% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Volkanovski
RND
Ortega
0/0R00/0

Volkanovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.6W5.6W5.9W5.9W5.6W7.5L6.8W3.5L4.5L5.8W5.8W2016-112018-122022-042024-022026-01
WinLossTrend

Ortega · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5W5.5W6.0W6.3W5.7W5.0W6.2L5.0W7.0L3.1L6.8W6.8L6.5L2015-062017-122021-092025-08
WinLossTrend

Volkanovski · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

Ortega · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair RodriguezRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09

News & Media

Alexander Volkanovski · Brian Ortega
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