METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Featherweight
VS
51%
Volkanovski
49%
Ortega
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
28 – 4
5'6"71" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
Brian
Brian Ortega
"T-City"
16 – 5
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide35 yrsSwitch69" reach5'8"
CFR 62
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Brian Ortega · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
→
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Volkanovski at 51% vs Ortega at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VolkanovskiOrtega
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkanovski
Ortega
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
71"+
Reach
69"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Volkanovski
Ortega
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
62.1
59.8
Performance Avg
53.7
44
Quality of Victory
48
100
Momentum Score
80
Volkanovski
Ortega
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
8.0
7.0
Style: Volume
2.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
39
Head
19
6
Body
6
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
47Distance24
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Volkanovski
Ortega
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Ortega
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Volkanovski
Ortega
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Volkanovski
Ortega
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
88%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
4
10
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkanovski
Ortega
Striking5.0 / 5.0Volume7.0 / 2.2Grappling1.6 / 4.3Wrestling1.1 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.8 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Volkanovski
Strike Zones
Ortega
Volkanovski
Attacking
39HEAD6BODY5LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY1LEGS26 absorbed
Ortega
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY1LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD6BODY5LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (78% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Ortega targets the head (73% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Volkanovski
RND
Ortega
0/0R00/0

Volkanovski · Last 5

Upcoming
Movsar Evloev
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia Topuria
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam Makhachev
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Ortega · Last 5

Upcoming
Renato Moicano
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain Sterling
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego Lopes
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair Rodriguez
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair Rodriguez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

News & Media

Alexander Volkanovski · Brian Ortega
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