★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 27 Featherweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2018
Ultimate Fighter 27 Featherweight Tournament
VS
6%
Cucciniello
94%
Katona
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JC
Jay Cucciniello
8 – 1
5'7"Orthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
Brad
Brad Katona
"Superman"
16 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'6"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Katona

Katona is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Katona has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.

Katona has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Cucciniello
Katona
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
Reach
64"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cucciniello
Katona
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
42.2
0.0
Performance Avg
44.0
0
Quality of Victory
44
0
Momentum Score
40
Cucciniello
Katona
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.1
1.6
20%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
14
1
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
1Clinch0
0Ground13
Cucciniello
Katona
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cucciniello
Katona
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
70
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/9 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Cucciniello
Katona
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cucciniello
Katona
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cucciniello
Katona
Striking0.0 / 0.9Volume0.0 / 8.9Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 1.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
Cucciniello
Strike Zones
Katona
Cucciniello
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Katona
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cucciniello targets the head (50% of attacks) — Katona absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Katona targets the head (88% of attacks) — Cucciniello absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cucciniello
RND
Katona
0/0R00/0

Katona · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L4.7W5.6L4.5W6.4L2.6L2018-072019-092024-062025-05
WinLossTrend

Cucciniello · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Brad KatonaRating 5.9
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07

Katona · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jesse ButlerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Jay Cucciniello · Brad Katona
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