UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Welterweight
VS
46%
Ponzinibbio
54%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:12
Santiago
Santiago Ponzinibbio
"Argentine Dagger"
31 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox39 yrsStriker
CFR 46
Daniel
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodriguez

This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 46% vs Rodriguez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
53.3
50.5
Performance Avg
50.7
44
Quality of Victory
37
46
Momentum Score
70
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
0
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
70
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Striking7.0 / 4.4Volume4.5 / 6.2Grappling1.0 / 2.2Wrestling0.7 / 1.6Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure5.9 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Ponzinibbio
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (71% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ponzinibbio
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5L5.0W5.6W2.8L5.0W5.2W4.9W4.5W6.1W4.5W6.0W2.3L5.1W6.5L6.1L5.5W4.6L6.5L6.3W4.9L2013-112016-042018-112022-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.3W5.0W5.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.3W4.6L3.0L5.8L4.5W6.0W5.1W2020-022021-042022-112025-052025-07
WinLossTrend

Ponzinibbio · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

News & Media

Santiago Ponzinibbio · Daniel Rodriguez
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