METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Welterweight
VS
46%
Ponzinibbio
54%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:12
★ Official Result
Daniel RodriguezwinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:12
def. Santiago Ponzinibbio · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Rodriguez wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ponzinibbio at 46% vs Rodriguez at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodriguez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ponzinibbio's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PonzinibbioRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.7
53.3
50.5
Performance Avg
50.7
44
Quality of Victory
37
46
Momentum Score
70
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
2.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
50%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
0
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/40 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
70
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ponzinibbio
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
PonzinibbioRodriguez
Strike Zones
Ponzinibbio
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ponzinibbio targets the head (71% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ponzinibbio absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ponzinibbio
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ponzinibbio · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ponzinibbio · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Carlston HarrisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · KO · R3
Kevin HollandRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05