Nurullo Aliev vs Joe Solecki — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2

Las Vegas, USA

11 Jan 2025

Lightweight

58%

Aliev

42%

Solecki

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Nurullo Aliev

"Tajik Eagle"

11 – 0

5'10"72" reachOrthodox25 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 61

Joe Solecki

13 – 6

Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"

CFR 44

★ Official Result

Nurullo AlievwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Joe Solecki · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Aliev

→

Actual result

Aliev wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Aliev at 58% vs Solecki at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Solecki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

AlievSolecki

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Aliev

Solecki

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'9"

72"+

Reach

70"

25+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Aliev

Solecki

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

60.8

44.2

55.0

Performance Avg

43.6

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Aliev

Solecki

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

/ 10

1.1

/ 10

3.0

Style: Pressure

4.5

10.0

Style: Volume

5.9

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

24Distance19

0Clinch0

0Ground2

Aliev

Solecki

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.3

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Aliev

Solecki

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/11 fights

Chin rating based on

9/19 fights

Aliev

Solecki

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

Aliev

Solecki

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aliev

Solecki

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.1

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.6

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.3

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.0

3.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.5

10.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.9

Aliev

Strike Zones

Solecki

Aliev

Attacking

24 landed

Absorbing

21 absorbed

Solecki

Attacking

21 landed

Absorbing

24 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Aliev targets the head (75% of attacks) — Solecki absorbs 75% of strikes there

🎯Solecki targets the head (86% of attacks) — Aliev absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aliev

RND

Solecki

0/0R00/0

Aliev · Last 5

Upcoming

Grant Dawson

UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10

W · Dec · R3

Mike Davis

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07

W · Dec · R3

Shem Rock

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Joe Solecki

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

W · Dec · R3

Rafael Alves

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

Solecki · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Nurullo Aliev

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01

L · Dec · R3

Grant Dawson

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

L · KO · R1

Drakkar Klose

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

W · Sub · R2

Carl Deaton

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02

W · Dec · R3

Alex Da Silva

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

News & Media

Nurullo Aliev · Joe Solecki

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