UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Aug 2017
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Briones
73%
Yahya
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Briones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Briones throws more volume but Yahya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Briones's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yahya has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Briones
Yahya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
67"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Briones
Yahya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
42.3
37.7
Performance Avg
50.5
50
Quality of Victory
39
33
Momentum Score
39
Briones
Yahya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.5
38%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Briones
Yahya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.4
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Briones
Yahya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
48
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/24 fights
Chin rating based on
21/40 fights
Briones
Yahya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Briones
Yahya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
54%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
7
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Briones
Yahya
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
BrionesYahya
Strike Zones
Briones
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedYahya
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Yahya targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Briones absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Briones
RND
Yahya
0/0R00/0
Briones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Briones · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Frankie SaenzRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · KO · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Guido CannettiRating 5.2Submission
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · 2014-11
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03