UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
Montreal, Canada
8 May 2010
Heavyweight
VS
38%
Ferguson
62%
Mitrione
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mitrione
Mitrione holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Ferguson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mitrione has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Mitrione has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mitrione has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ferguson
Mitrione
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+82"
52
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ferguson
Mitrione
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.6
21.9
35.0
Performance Avg
58.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
55
Momentum Score
82
Ferguson
Mitrione
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
2.1
34%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
26
1
Body
5
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
2Distance14
0Clinch3
0Ground22
Ferguson
Mitrione
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferguson
Mitrione
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
30
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/7 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Ferguson
Mitrione
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Ferguson
Mitrione
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
89%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ferguson
Mitrione
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
FergusonMitrione
Strike Zones
Ferguson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedMitrione
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ferguson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Mitrione absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Mitrione targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ferguson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ferguson
RND
Mitrione
0/0R00/0
Ferguson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Mitrione · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ferguson · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Matt MitrioneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Houston AlexanderRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
Mitrione · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Travis BrowneRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
L · Sub · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
W · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
W · KO · R1
Shawn JordanRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03