METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Villante
53%
Alvey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sam AlveywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gian Villante · UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvey
→
Actual result
Alvey wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Villante at 47% vs Alvey at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VillanteAlvey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Villante
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Villante
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
22.9
40.8
Performance Avg
44.3
42
Quality of Victory
45
33
Momentum Score
43
Villante
Alvey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
5.5
4.2
Style: Volume
4.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
2
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Alvey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Villante
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Villante
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
VillanteAlvey
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (63% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (86% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10