UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Light Heavyweight
VS
47%
Villante
53%
Alvey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GV
Gian Villante
17 – 14
6'3"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
SA
Sam Alvey
"Smile'N"
33 – 18
Well-Rounded8-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'2"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alvey

This is a genuine toss-up — Villante at 47% vs Alvey at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alvey has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Villante
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Villante
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
22.9
40.8
Performance Avg
44.3
42
Quality of Victory
45
33
Momentum Score
43
Villante
Alvey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
12
2
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Villante
Alvey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Villante
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Villante
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
60%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Villante
Alvey
Striking6.5 / 5.9Volume4.2 / 4.1Grappling1.0 / 1.8Wrestling0.7 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 1.0Pressure5.2 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Villante
Strike Zones
Alvey
Villante
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY4LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Alvey
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY4LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (63% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (86% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Villante
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Villante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.7W2.5L4.0L5.5L3.8L2013-042015-072017-072020-062021-11
WinLossTrend

Alvey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W1.8L5.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.4W4.5W2.8L3.0L5.5L5.9L3.3L5.5L4.1L2.5L2014-082016-072017-102020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

Alvey · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenRating 4.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon Jung
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10

News & Media

Gian Villante · Sam Alvey
← Back to fights