METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Namajunas
52%
Weili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Rose
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15 – 8
5'5"65" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Zhang
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
26 – 4
Well-Rounded37 yrsSwitch63" reach5'4"
CFR 69
★ Official Result
Rose NamajunaswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Zhang Weili · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weili
→
Actual result
Namajunas wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 48% vs Weili at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasWeili
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Namajunas
Weili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
65"+
Reach
63"
34+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Namajunas
Weili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
68.9
54.8
Performance Avg
63.3
49
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
100
Namajunas
Weili
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.9
Style: Volume
6.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
5
1
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
14Ground4
Namajunas
Weili
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Namajunas
Weili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/30 fights
Namajunas
Weili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Namajunas
Weili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Namajunas
Weili
Striking2.9 / 3.5Volume5.9 / 6.3Grappling3.4 / 3.0Wrestling2.4 / 2.1Submission2.5 / 2.0Pressure4.8 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Namajunas
Strike Zones
Weili
Namajunas
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Weili
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (78% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Weili targets the head (63% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Namajunas
RND
Weili
0/0R00/0

Namajunas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Natalia Silva
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda Maverick
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin Blanchfield
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy Cortez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda Ribas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Weili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Valentina Shevchenko
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana Suarez
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan Xiaonan
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda Lemos
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla Esparza
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

News & Media

Rose Namajunas · Zhang Weili
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