★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
47%
Namajunas
53%
Weili
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Rose
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15 – 8
5'5"65" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 63
Zhang
Zhang Weili
"Magnum"
26 – 4
Well-Rounded36 yrsSwitch63" reach5'4"
CFR 72

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Weili

This is a genuine toss-up — Namajunas at 47% vs Weili at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Weili has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Namajunas
Weili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
65"+
Reach
63"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Namajunas
Weili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.2
71.6
55.9
Performance Avg
66.9
51
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
100
Namajunas
Weili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
5
1
Body
0
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance4
0Clinch0
14Ground4
Namajunas
Weili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Namajunas
Weili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
13/30 fights
Namajunas
Weili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Namajunas
Weili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Namajunas
Weili
Striking2.9 / 3.5Volume5.9 / 6.3Grappling3.4 / 3.0Wrestling2.4 / 2.1Submission2.5 / 2.0Pressure4.8 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Namajunas
Strike Zones
Weili
Namajunas
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Weili
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (78% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Weili targets the head (63% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Namajunas
RND
Weili
0/0R00/0

Namajunas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0103.0L5.1W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W2.9L5.3W6.8W6.3W5.8L7.1L4.6W5.2W7.0L5.3W7.0L2014-122017-042021-042024-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Weili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.0W5.2W5.8W4.5W2.9L6.9L5.2W5.4W5.6W5.5W6.4W6.9L2018-082020-032022-112025-11
WinLossTrend

Namajunas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

Weili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

News & Media

Rose Namajunas · Zhang Weili
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