METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Featherweight
VS
52%
Naimov
48%
Grad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Muhammad NaimovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bogdan Grad · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Naimov
→
Actual result
Naimov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Naimov at 52% vs Grad at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Grad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Grad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Naimov's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NaimovGrad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Naimov
Grad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Naimov
Grad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
54.5
51.4
Performance Avg
46.3
38
Quality of Victory
55
96
Momentum Score
52
Naimov
Grad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
1.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
65%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Naimov
Grad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naimov
Grad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Naimov
Grad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Naimov
Grad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Naimov
Grad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
NaimovGrad
Strike Zones
Naimov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGrad
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Grad targets the body (67% of attacks) — Naimov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Naimov
RND
Grad
0/0R00/0
Naimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Grad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Naimov · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Erik SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Grad · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Luke RileyRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Lucas AlexanderRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02