METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Featherweight
VS
45%
Naimov
55%
Grad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Muhammad NaimovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Bogdan Grad · UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Grad
→
Actual result
Naimov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Naimov at 45% vs Grad at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Grad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Naimov's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NaimovGrad
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Naimov
Grad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Naimov
Grad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.6
59.6
47.8
Performance Avg
51.4
38
Quality of Victory
52
66
Momentum Score
65
Naimov
Grad
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
8.5
6.0
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Naimov
Grad
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naimov
Grad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/17 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Naimov
Grad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Naimov
Grad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Naimov
Grad
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
NaimovGrad
Strike Zones
Naimov
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGrad
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Grad targets the body (67% of attacks) — Naimov absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Naimov
RND
Grad
0/0R00/0
Naimov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Losene KeitaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
Grad · Last 4
W · Sub · R2
Dennis BuzukjaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Luke RileyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Lucas AlexanderKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02