UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Featherweight
VS
52%
Naimov
48%
Grad
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MN
Muhammad Naimov
"Hillman"
13 – 4
5'9"70" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Bogdan
Bogdan Grad
"The Unleashed"
15 – 4
Knockout Artist2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Naimov

This is a genuine toss-up — Naimov at 52% vs Grad at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Grad has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Grad has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Naimov's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Naimov
Grad
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Naimov
Grad
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
54.5
51.4
Performance Avg
46.3
38
Quality of Victory
55
96
Momentum Score
52
Naimov
Grad
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
37%
Strike Accuracy
65%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Naimov
Grad
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naimov
Grad
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Naimov
Grad
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Naimov
Grad
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Naimov
Grad
Striking5.4 / 10.0Volume6.2 / 0.7Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Naimov
Strike Zones
Grad
Naimov
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD4BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Grad
Attacking
1HEAD4BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Naimov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Grad absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Grad targets the body (67% of attacks) — Naimov absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Naimov
RND
Grad
0/0R00/0

Naimov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.4W5.3W5.0W5.0L5.1W5.5W6.0L2023-062024-022025-022025-12
WinLossTrend

Grad · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W6.7L4.5L2025-022025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Naimov · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Erik SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Grad · Last 3

L · KO · R2
Luke RileyRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R2
Lucas AlexanderRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02

News & Media

Muhammad Naimov · Bogdan Grad
← Back to fights