UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Omaha, USA
17 Sept 2008
Middleweight
VS
51%
Miller
49%
Kimmons
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:27
DM
Dan Miller
14 – 8
6'1"74" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
RK
Rob Kimmons
"The Rosedale Reaper"
25 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 51% vs Kimmons at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Kimmons connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kimmons has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Kimmons
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Kimmons
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
16.2
43.7
Performance Avg
43.7
42
Quality of Victory
44
51
Momentum Score
53
Miller
Kimmons
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
37%
Strike Accuracy
51%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Kimmons
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Kimmons
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
32
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/34 fights
Miller
Kimmons
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Miller
Kimmons
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Kimmons
Striking0.9 / 0.9Volume3.6 / 3.5Grappling6.1 / 6.1Wrestling4.3 / 4.3Submission6.7 / 6.7Pressure6.0 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Kimmons
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5W1.5L5.5L2008-092010-022011-032015-07
WinLossTrend

Kimmons · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0105.0W1.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W2.8L2.8L2008-062009-042010-082011-03
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Jordan MeinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Sub · R3
Ricardo FunchRating 5.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03

Kimmons · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dongi YangRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · Sub · R2
Kyle NokeRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
W · Dec · R3
Steve SteinbeissRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · KO · R3
Jorge RiveraRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
W · Sub · R1
Joe VedepoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04

News & Media

Dan Miller · Rob Kimmons
← Back to fights