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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
Seattle, USA
22 Feb 2025
Catch Weight
VS
52%
Font
48%
Matsumoto
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Rob
Rob Font
2210
5'8"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Jean
Jean Matsumoto
172
Well-Rounded27 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 55
★ Official Result
Rob FontwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jean Matsumoto · UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Font
Actual result
Font wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Font at 52% vs Matsumoto at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Font has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
FontMatsumoto
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Font
Matsumoto
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
68"
39
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Font
Matsumoto
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.4
55.1
49.1
Performance Avg
45.3
44
Quality of Victory
31
91
Momentum Score
88
Font
Matsumoto
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
3.8
4.5
Style: Volume
7.3
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
26
6
Body
3
0
Leg
12
RangeRange
32Distance37
8Clinch4
0Ground0
Font
Matsumoto
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Font
Matsumoto
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Font
Matsumoto
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Font
Matsumoto
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
25%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Font
Matsumoto
Striking6.1 / 1.3Volume4.5 / 7.3Grappling1.7 / 3.8Wrestling1.2 / 2.7Submission0.8 / 2.5Pressure5.8 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Font
Strike Zones
Matsumoto
Font
Attacking
34HEAD6BODY0LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD3BODY12LEGS41 absorbed
Matsumoto
Attacking
26HEAD3BODY12LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD6BODY0LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Font targets the head (85% of attacks) — Matsumoto absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Matsumoto targets the head (63% of attacks) — Font absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Font
RND
Matsumoto
0/0R00/0

Font · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
David Martinez
Decision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jean Matsumoto
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Kyler Phillips
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson Figueiredo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

Matsumoto · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Bekzat Almakhan
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Farid Basharat
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Miles Johns
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Rob Font
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Brad Katona
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

News & Media

Rob Font · Jean Matsumoto
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