METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Cleveland, USA
10 Sept 2016
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Miocic
24%
Overeem
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:27
★ Official Result
Stipe MiocicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:27
def. Alistair Overeem · UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miocic
→
Actual result
Miocic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Miocic is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MiocicOvereem
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miocic
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
80"
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
18.1
64.9
Performance Avg
55.0
59
Quality of Victory
52
78
Momentum Score
56
Miocic
Overeem
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.9
/ 10
8.7
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
7.0
4.3
Style: Volume
3.2
9 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
5
3
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance7
6Clinch2
12Ground0
Miocic
Overeem
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miocic
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Miocic
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Miocic
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
75%
9
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miocic
Overeem
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
MiocicOvereem
Strike Zones
Miocic
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedOvereem
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the head (91% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Overeem targets the head (56% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miocic
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouKO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierDecision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierKO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierKO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04