METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Cleveland, USA
10 Sept 2016
Heavyweight
VS
76%
Miocic
24%
Overeem
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:27
★ Official Result
Stipe MiocicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:27
def. Alistair Overeem · UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miocic
→
Actual result
Miocic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Miocic is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miocic's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Overeem has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MiocicOvereem
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miocic
Overeem
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
80"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miocic
Overeem
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
18.1
64.9
Performance Avg
55.0
59
Quality of Victory
52
78
Momentum Score
56
Miocic
Overeem
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
73%
7.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.7
9 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
5
3
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance7
6Clinch2
12Ground0
Miocic
Overeem
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miocic
Overeem
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
20/66 fights
Miocic
Overeem
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Miocic
Overeem
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
75%
9
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miocic
Overeem
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
0.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
MiocicOvereem
Strike Zones
Miocic
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedOvereem
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miocic targets the head (91% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Overeem targets the head (56% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miocic
RND
Overeem
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Overeem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04