UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Martinez
57%
Lawrence
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lawrence
This is a genuine toss-up — Martinez at 43% vs Lawrence at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lawrence has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Martinez throws more volume but Lawrence connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Martinez
Lawrence
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Martinez
Lawrence
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
41.8
35.0
Performance Avg
49.2
25
Quality of Victory
38
61
Momentum Score
68
Martinez
Lawrence
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
67%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
8
6
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance11
0Clinch0
6Ground1
Martinez
Lawrence
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martinez
Lawrence
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Martinez
Lawrence
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
68
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Martinez
Lawrence
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martinez
Lawrence
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
MartinezLawrence
Strike Zones
Martinez
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedLawrence
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lawrence absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lawrence targets the head (67% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martinez
RND
Lawrence
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Lawrence · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Martinez · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Cameron SaaimanRating 6.5Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Ronnie LawrenceRating 5.8Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
Lawrence · Last 4
Upcoming
Dan ArguetaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · KO · R3
Vince CacheroRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02