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UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Houston, USA
12 Feb 2022
Bantamweight
VS
43%
Martinez
57%
Lawrence
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MM
Mana Martinez
"ManaBoi"
104
5'10"70" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 31
RL
Ronnie Lawrence
"The Heat"
82
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch68" reach5'8"
CFR 42
★ Official Result
Ronnie LawrencewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mana Martinez · UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawrence
Actual result
Lawrence wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Martinez at 43% vs Lawrence at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lawrence has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Martinez throws more volume but Lawrence connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MartinezLawrence
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Martinez
Lawrence
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Martinez
Lawrence
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
41.8
35.0
Performance Avg
49.2
25
Quality of Victory
38
61
Momentum Score
68
Martinez
Lawrence
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
67%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
8
6
Body
2
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
24Distance11
0Clinch0
6Ground1
Martinez
Lawrence
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martinez
Lawrence
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Martinez
Lawrence
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
68
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Martinez
Lawrence
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Martinez
Lawrence
Striking1.0 / 6.3Volume9.0 / 5.3Grappling2.4 / 1.2Wrestling1.7 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Martinez
Strike Zones
Lawrence
Martinez
Attacking
20HEAD6BODY4LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Lawrence
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD6BODY4LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lawrence absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lawrence targets the head (67% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Martinez
RND
Lawrence
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.8L4.5W6.5L2021-082022-022022-102023-03
WinLossTrend

Lawrence · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5W4.5W5.8L2021-022022-022022-07
WinLossTrend

Martinez · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Cameron SaaimanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon DavisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Ronnie LawrenceRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08

Lawrence · Last 4

Upcoming
Dan Argueta
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · KO · R3
Vince CacheroRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02

News & Media

Mana Martinez · Ronnie Lawrence
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