METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fairfax, USA
11 Jan 2010
Welterweight
VS
68%
MacDonald
32%
Guymon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:27
★ Official Result
Rory MacDonaldwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:27
def. Mike Guymon · UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
MacDonald
→
Actual result
MacDonald wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
MacDonald holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Guymon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
MacDonald has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Guymon has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldGuymon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Guymon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
37+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Guymon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
8.6
51.3
Performance Avg
25.0
39
Quality of Victory
25
61
Momentum Score
17
MacDonald
Guymon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
0.8
5.8
Style: Volume
8.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
1
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance3
1Clinch0
2Ground3
MacDonald
Guymon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Guymon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
MacDonald
Guymon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
17
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
MacDonald
Guymon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Guymon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
MacDonaldGuymon
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedGuymon
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (88% of attacks) — Guymon absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Guymon targets the body (50% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Guymon
0/0R00/0
MacDonald · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stephen ThompsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec SaffiedineKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyDecision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaDecision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
Guymon · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
L · Sub · R1
Daniel RobertsSubmission
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Yoshiyuki YoshidaDecision
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · Sub · R1
Rory MacDonaldSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01