UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Lightweight
VS
50%
Green
50%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DG
Desmond Green
"The Predator"
23 – 8
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 16
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Green

This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 50% vs Tibau at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Green
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
71"
36+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Green
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.6
15.4
43.1
Performance Avg
43.2
34
Quality of Victory
34
41
Momentum Score
74
Green
Tibau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
10
4
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
30Distance14
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Green
Tibau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/31 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Green
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
74
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Green
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Green
Tibau
Striking3.6 / 1.8Volume7.1 / 6.6Grappling1.8 / 3.6Wrestling1.3 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure3.5 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Green
Strike Zones
Tibau
Green
Attacking
26HEAD4BODY1LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Tibau
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD4BODY1LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (84% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (71% of attacks) — Green absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Green
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.6W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.3W2017-042018-022018-092019-05
WinLossTrend

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Green · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Ross PearsonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Mairbek TaisumovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Michel PrazeresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Desmond Green · Gleison Tibau
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