UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
Anaheim, USA
23 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
44%
Shields
56%
Kampmann
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kampmann
This is a genuine toss-up — Shields at 44% vs Kampmann at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Kampmann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Kampmann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kampmann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shields
Kampmann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
47
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shields
Kampmann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
18.6
37.9
Performance Avg
52.1
25
Quality of Victory
44
65
Momentum Score
76
Shields
Kampmann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.5
32%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch4
0Ground4
Shields
Kampmann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shields
Kampmann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
8
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/40 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Shields
Kampmann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shields
Kampmann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
64%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shields
Kampmann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.5
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
ShieldsKampmann
Strike Zones
Shields
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedKampmann
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shields targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kampmann absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Kampmann targets the head (60% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shields
RND
Kampmann
0/0R00/0
Shields · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Kampmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Shields · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed HermanUFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
Kampmann · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Carlos ConditRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.1KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · Sub · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
W · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11