UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Paris, France
3 Sept 2022
Middleweight
VS
27%
Chirico
73%
Kopylov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:09
AD
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
13 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Roman
Roman Kopylov
15 – 5
Striker34 yrsSouthpaw75" reach6'0"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kopylov

Kopylov is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kopylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Chirico's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chirico
Kopylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chirico
Kopylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
54.3
39.3
Performance Avg
50.3
41
Quality of Victory
45
25
Momentum Score
58
Chirico
Kopylov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.9
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
13
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chirico
Kopylov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chirico
Kopylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Chirico
Kopylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Chirico
Kopylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chirico
Kopylov
Striking5.7 / 8.3Volume4.7 / 3.5Grappling1.2 / 0.7Wrestling0.8 / 0.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Chirico
Strike Zones
Kopylov
Chirico
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Kopylov
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chirico targets the head (80% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Kopylov targets the head (72% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chirico
RND
Kopylov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Chirico · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W5.0W6.1L6.5L5.9L6.2W3.0L5.0L2016-042017-122019-092021-082022-09
WinLossTrend

Kopylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.0L5.5L5.5W6.2W5.6W5.2W4.2L5.6W6.2W6.5L7.1L5.8W2019-112023-012024-022025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Chirico · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09

Kopylov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

News & Media

Alessio Di Chirico · Roman Kopylov
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