UFC 109: Relentless
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2010
Heavyweight
VS
87%
Beltran
13%
Gracie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Beltran
Beltran is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Beltran has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Beltran's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Beltran
Gracie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
44+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Beltran
Gracie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
2.2
39.3
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Beltran
Gracie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
—
34%
Strike Accuracy
0%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
7Ground0
Beltran
Gracie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Beltran
Gracie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
78
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/31 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Beltran
Gracie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
Beltran
Gracie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Beltran
Gracie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BeltranGracie
Strike Zones
Beltran
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGracie
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Beltran targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gracie absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Beltran
RND
Gracie
0/0R00/0
Beltran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Beltran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Upcoming
Igor PokrajacUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
James Te HunaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Lavar JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis · 2012-01
L · Dec · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
Gracie · Last 1
L · KO · R2
Joey BeltranRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02