METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Middleweight
VS
86%
Jacoby
14%
Starks
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Clifford StarkswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dustin Jacoby · UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Starks wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Starks has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyStarks
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Starks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
+78"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Starks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
10.0
52.3
Performance Avg
28.3
48
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
27
Jacoby
Starks
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
1.0
3.6
Style: Volume
8.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
1Clinch0
0Ground3
Jacoby
Starks
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Starks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Jacoby
Starks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Starks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Starks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
JacobyStarks
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedStarks
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (100% of attacks) — Starks absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Starks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Starks
0/0R00/0
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Starks · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Yoel RomeroKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
L · Sub · R2
Ed HermanSubmission
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Dustin JacobyDecision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10