UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Flyweight
VS
61%
Silva
39%
Dvorak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Dvorak has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Dvorak throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva
Dvorak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
+68"
36
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Dvorak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
33.2
51.7
Performance Avg
40.8
53
Quality of Victory
35
39
Momentum Score
43
Silva
Dvorak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
21
6
Body
12
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance26
4Clinch10
0Ground0
Silva
Dvorak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Dvorak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/26 fights
Silva
Dvorak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Dvorak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Dvorak
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SilvaDvorak
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedDvorak
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (61% of attacks) — Dvorak absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Dvorak targets the head (58% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Dvorak
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Dvorak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
Upcoming
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