UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Flyweight
VS
59%
Borg
41%
Kelades
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borg
This is a genuine toss-up — Borg at 59% vs Kelades at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Kelades throws more volume but Borg connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Borg
Kelades
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
63"
Reach
+68"
32+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Borg
Kelades
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
13.1
42.5
Performance Avg
35.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
44
Borg
Kelades
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Borg
Kelades
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borg
Kelades
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Borg
Kelades
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
44
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Borg
Kelades
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borg
Kelades
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
BorgKelades
Strike Zones
Borg
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedKelades
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borg targets the head (33% of attacks) — Kelades absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Kelades targets the body (100% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borg
RND
Kelades
0/0R00/0
Borg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Kelades · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Borg · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Kelades · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Sub · R3
Ray BorgRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10