METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Walker
45%
Spann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:43
★ Official Result
Johnny WalkerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:43
def. Ryan Spann · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Walker
→
Actual result
Walker wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Walker at 55% vs Spann at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Walker's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spann has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WalkerSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Walker
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'5"
82"+
Reach
79"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Walker
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
41.9
54.6
Performance Avg
53.3
56
Quality of Victory
50
41
Momentum Score
10
Walker
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
7.4
2.1
Style: Volume
2.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
7
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
22Ground4
Walker
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Walker
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/32 fights
Chin rating based on
17/35 fights
Walker
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
10
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Walker
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
80%
6
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Walker
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
WalkerSpann
Strike Zones
Walker
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedSpann
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Walker targets the head (92% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (100% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Walker
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Walker · Last 5
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