METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
49%
Herrig
51%
Casey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Felice HerrigwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cortney Casey · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Casey
→
Actual result
Herrig wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Herrig at 49% vs Casey at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HerrigCasey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herrig
Casey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herrig
Casey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.3
27.5
41.4
Performance Avg
40.3
36
Quality of Victory
41
66
Momentum Score
73
Herrig
Casey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
4.7
5.8
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
22
4
Body
2
10
Leg
7
RangeRange
25Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Herrig
Casey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herrig
Casey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Herrig
Casey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
73
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Herrig
Casey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herrig
Casey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
HerrigCasey
Strike Zones
Herrig
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedCasey
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herrig targets the head (44% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 44% of strikes there
🎯Casey targets the head (71% of attacks) — Herrig absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herrig
RND
Casey
0/0R00/0
Herrig · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Karolina KowalkiewiczSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezDecision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczDecision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyDecision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
Casey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Antonina ShevchenkoDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Liana JojuaDecision
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L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichDecision
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Gillian RobertsonSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaSubmission
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