UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai
Las Vegas, USA
5 Jun 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
61%
Rosa
39%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rosa
Rosa holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Silva has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Rosa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rosa
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
31+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rosa
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
34.5
47.2
Performance Avg
39.0
42
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
30
Rosa
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance4
0Clinch0
25Ground0
Rosa
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rosa
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
14
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/28 fights
Rosa
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rosa
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
RosaSilva
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSilva
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rosa · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Tatiana SuarezRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Wang CongRating 6.8Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 4.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · Sub · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 6.4Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Melissa GattoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

