METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 14: Showdown
Birmingham, USA
27 Jul 1997
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Smith
52%
Coleman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 3:00
★ Official Result
Maurice SmithwinsDecisionR3 · 3:00
def. Mark Coleman · UFC 14: Showdown
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Coleman
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Smith at 48% vs Coleman at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Coleman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Coleman throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Coleman has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithColeman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Coleman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
Reach
75"
64
Age
+61
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Coleman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.2
22.9
53.4
Performance Avg
60.5
51
Quality of Victory
62
76
Momentum Score
84
Smith
Coleman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.5
75%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
0
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Smith
Coleman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Coleman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
40
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/26 fights
Smith
Coleman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
84
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Smith
Coleman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
86%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Coleman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
SmithColeman
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedColeman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Coleman absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Coleman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Coleman
0/0R00/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Coleman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renato SobralRating 5.5Decision
UFC 28: High Stakes · 2000-11
W · Dec · R3
Bobby HoffmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
W · KO · R1
Marco RuasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · Dec · R2
Kevin RandlemanRating 4.8Decision
UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns · 1999-03
L · Dec · R3
Randy CoutureRating 5.5Decision
UFC - Ultimate Japan · 1997-12
Coleman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5Decision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoRating 4.8Decision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05