METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Flyweight
VS
59%
Kape
41%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:57
★ Official Result
Manel KapewinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:57
def. Bruno Silva · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kape
→
Actual result
Kape wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kape at 59% vs Silva at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KapeSilva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kape
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
65"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kape
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.8
50.6
65.8
Performance Avg
49.9
61
Quality of Victory
53
89
Momentum Score
39
Kape
Silva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.9
/ 10
6.9
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
8.4
3.5
Style: Volume
0.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
7
11
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kape
Silva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kape
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
38
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Kape
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
39
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Kape
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kape
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
KapeSilva
Strike Zones
Kape
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSilva
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kape targets the head (63% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kape
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kape · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Silva · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Edgar ChairezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R3
HyunSung ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Joshua VanKO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12