UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Flyweight
VS
57%
Kape
43%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:57
Manel
Manel Kape
"StarBoy"
22 – 7
5'5"68" reachSouthpaw32 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 70
Bruno
Bruno Silva
"Bulldog"
15 – 8
Knockout Artist36 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 53

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kape

This is a genuine toss-up — Kape at 57% vs Silva at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kape has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Silva has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kape
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'4"
68"+
Reach
65"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kape
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.6
52.5
61.4
Performance Avg
51.7
56
Quality of Victory
53
89
Momentum Score
39
Kape
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.3
59%
Strike Accuracy
49%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
7
11
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Kape
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kape
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
50
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/29 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Kape
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
39
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
Kape
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kape
Silva
Striking8.5 / 7.0Volume3.7 / 1.0Grappling0.7 / 3.2Wrestling0.5 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure7.1 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Kape
Strike Zones
Silva
Kape
Attacking
25HEAD11BODY4LEGS40 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD11BODY4LEGS40 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kape targets the head (63% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kape
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Kape · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.8L5.7L5.8W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.9L6.4W6.4W5.8W2021-022021-122024-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L6.6L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.4W5.7L5.6L7.3W6.4L2020-032021-052024-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Kape · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Silva · Last 5

Upcoming
Edgar Chairez
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R3
HyunSung ParkRating 7.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R3
Joshua VanRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

News & Media

Manel Kape · Bruno Silva
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