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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Velasquez
44%
Browne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
CV
Cain Velasquez
143
6'1"77" reachOrthodox43 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 26
TB
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
187
Knockout Artist4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'6"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Cain VelasquezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:57
def. Travis Browne · UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Velasquez
Actual result
Velasquez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Velasquez at 56% vs Browne at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Velasquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Browne has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VelasquezBrowne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Velasquez
Browne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+79"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Browne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
20.1
69.4
Performance Avg
55.1
62
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
78
Velasquez
Browne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
1.8
59%
Strike Accuracy
44%
9.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
5
5
Body
1
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
28Distance6
5Clinch0
17Ground0
Velasquez
Browne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Velasquez
Browne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Velasquez
Browne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Velasquez
Browne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
89%
10
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Velasquez
Browne
Striking9.9 / 8.9Volume2.9 / 2.0Grappling0.4 / 1.2Wrestling0.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure8.2 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Velasquez
Strike Zones
Browne
Velasquez
Attacking
35HEAD5BODY10LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Browne
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD5BODY10LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (70% of attacks) — Browne absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Browne targets the head (83% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Velasquez
RND
Browne
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Velasquez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5W2.8L5.0W1.9L2008-042009-102012-052015-062019-02
WinLossTrend

Browne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W2.2L5.5W1.5L5.5L3.3L2.8L2010-062012-102014-042016-072017-07
WinLossTrend

Velasquez · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05

Browne · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01

News & Media

Cain Velasquez · Travis Browne
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