UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
Las Vegas, USA
9 Jul 2016
Heavyweight
VS
56%
Velasquez
44%
Browne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Velasquez
This is a genuine toss-up — Velasquez at 56% vs Browne at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Velasquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Browne has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Velasquez
Browne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+79"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Browne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
20.1
69.4
Performance Avg
55.1
62
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
78
Velasquez
Browne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.8
59%
Strike Accuracy
44%
9.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
5
5
Body
1
10
Leg
0
RangeRange
28Distance6
5Clinch0
17Ground0
Velasquez
Browne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Velasquez
Browne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Velasquez
Browne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Velasquez
Browne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
89%
10
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
Browne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
VelasquezBrowne
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedBrowne
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (70% of attacks) — Browne absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Browne targets the head (83% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
Browne
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Velasquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Browne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.8Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
Browne · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Aleksei OleinikRating 2.8Submission
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Matt MitrioneRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01