UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Heavyweight
VS
63%
Velasquez
37%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Velasquez
Velasquez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Silva has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Velasquez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Velasquez's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Silva has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Velasquez
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
+82"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Velasquez
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.8
15.4
69.4
Performance Avg
47.0
62
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
26
Velasquez
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.4
59%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
28Ground0
Velasquez
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Velasquez
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/17 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Velasquez
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Velasquez
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
10
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Velasquez
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
VelasquezSilva
Strike Zones
Velasquez
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSilva
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Velasquez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Velasquez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Velasquez
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Velasquez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Velasquez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R3
Fabricio WerdumRating 2.8Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R5
Junior Dos SantosRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Antonio SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Roy NelsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R2
Soa PaleleiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02