UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Toronto, Canada
20 Jan 2024
Featherweight
VS
51%
Allen
49%
Evloev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Arnold
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
21 – 4
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Movsar
Movsar Evloev
20 – 0
Well-Rounded10-fight win streak32 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'7"
CFR 61

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 51% vs Evloev at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Evloev throws more volume but Allen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Allen
Evloev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+72"
32
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Evloev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
60.8
52.8
Performance Avg
55.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
100
Allen
Evloev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
9
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance15
4Clinch2
4Ground0
Allen
Evloev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Allen
Evloev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Allen
Evloev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Allen
Evloev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Evloev
Striking3.3 / 2.0Volume6.9 / 10.0Grappling2.9 / 2.4Wrestling2.0 / 1.7Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
Allen
Strike Zones
Evloev
Allen
Attacking
19HEAD9BODY1LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Evloev
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD9BODY1LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (66% of attacks) — Evloev absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Evloev targets the head (65% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Evloev
0/0R00/0

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W4.6W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.6W6.6L6.8L5.5W7.1L5.7W2015-062019-032022-032024-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Evloev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W5.2W5.8W5.9W5.5W6.0W2019-042021-012023-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Evloev · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

News & Media

Arnold Allen · Movsar Evloev
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