METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Middleweight
VS
56%
Weidman
44%
Tavares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad TavareswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Weidman · UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Weidman
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Weidman at 56% vs Tavares at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weidman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Weidman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WeidmanTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Weidman
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
74"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Weidman
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.0
35.6
57.0
Performance Avg
40.1
55
Quality of Victory
29
51
Momentum Score
49
Weidman
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
2.6
4.5
Style: Volume
8.1
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
1
Body
3
0
Leg
19
RangeRange
10Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Weidman
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Weidman
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/24 fights
Chin rating based on
28/34 fights
Weidman
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Weidman
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
13%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Weidman
Tavares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
WeidmanTavares
Strike Zones
Weidman
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTavares
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Weidman targets the head (90% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the legs (70% of attacks) — Weidman absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Weidman
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
Weidman · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Eryk AndersKO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Uriah HallKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
W · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Tavares · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02