METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2023
Lightweight
VS
56%
Dawson
44%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
★ Official Result
King GreenwinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:33
def. Grant Dawson · UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dawson
→
Actual result
Green wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dawson at 56% vs Green at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Dawson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DawsonGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dawson
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
72"+
Reach
71"
32+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Dawson
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.1
50.1
57.5
Performance Avg
47.2
39
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
85
Dawson
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
5.0
5.0
Style: Volume
5.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Dawson
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
5
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dawson
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
32/52 fights
Dawson
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dawson
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
47%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
5
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawson
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
DawsonGreen
Strike Zones
Dawson
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGreen
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dawson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawson
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dawson · Last 5
Upcoming
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